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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom24.05%Kamala Harris9.55%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8.85%Jon Ossoff6.15%Josh Shapiro4.95%Pete Buttigieg4.25%Andy Beshear2.65%Mark Kelly2.15%Rahm Emanuel2.15%James Talarico1.95%Ro Khanna1.75%J.B. Pritzker1.65%Michelle Obama1.35%Jon Stewart1.25%Gretchen Whitmer1.25%Wes Moore1.25%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.25%Stephen A. Smith1.05%Cory Booker0.95%Mark Cuban0.95%Roy Cooper0.95%Chelsea Clinton0.85%John Fetterman0.85%Graham Platner0.85%Chris Murphy0.85%Oprah Winfrey0.75%Barack Obama0.75%Gina Raimondo0.75%Raphael Warnock0.75%Bernie Sanders0.75%Liz Cheney0.75%Zohran Mamdani0.75%Ruben Gallego0.75%Jared Polis0.75%MrBeast0.75%LeBron James0.75%Hillary Clinton0.75%George Clooney0.65%Beto O’Rourke0.65%Tim Walz0.65%Andrew Yang0.65%Phil Murphy0.65%Hunter Biden0.65%Kim Kardashian0.65%Jasmine Crockett0.65%Jul 11, 18:41 pm
Vol995,55M €
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance34.65%Marco Rubio23.15%Tucker Carlson6.05%Ron DeSantis4.35%Donald Trump3.05%Donald Trump Jr.2.65%Thomas Massie2.35%Vivek Ramaswamy1.25%Glenn Youngkin1.15%Tulsi Gabbard1.05%Rand Paul0.95%Marjorie Taylor Greene0.95%Elon Musk0.95%Brian Kemp0.85%Josh Hawley0.85%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0.85%Ivanka Trump0.85%Katie Britt0.85%Ted Cruz0.85%Byron Donalds0.85%Nikki Haley0.85%Steve Bannon0.85%Kim Kardashian0.85%Tom Brady0.85%John Thune0.75%Greg Abbott0.75%Elise Stefanik0.75%Matt Gaetz0.75%Eric Trump0.75%Joe Kent0.75%Pete Hegseth0.75%Sarah Huckabee Sanders0.75%Erika Kirk0.75%Kristi Noem0.65%Mike Pence0.65%Jul 11, 19:42 pm
Vol547,66M €
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance18.65%Gavin Newsom16.15%Marco Rubio12.45%Kamala Harris7.55%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez5.15%Jon Ossoff3.45%Josh Shapiro3.05%Tucker Carlson2.85%Ron DeSantis2.65%Donald Trump2.15%Pete Buttigieg2.05%Thomas Massie1.95%Andy Beshear1.65%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.45%JB Pritzker1.35%Donald Trump Jr.1.15%Elon Musk0.95%Gretchen Whitmer0.95%Stephen Smith0.95%Ivanka Trump0.95%Jamie Dimon0.95%Greg Abbott0.95%Michelle Obama0.95%Nikki Haley0.85%Ro Khanna0.85%James Talarico0.85%Wes Moore0.75%Glenn Youngkin0.75%Vivek Ramaswamy0.75%Tulsi Gabbard0.75%Zohran Mamdani0.75%Eric Trump0.65%Tim Walz0.65%LeBron James0.65%Pete Hegseth0.65%Kim Kardashian0.65%Jul 11, 19:11 pm
Vol512,26M €
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 3171.5%
July 3156.5%
June 3040.5%
June 1531.5%
May 3119.5%
May 2615.5%
May 222.35%
April 30No
April 22No
April 24No
May 15No
May 8No
May 11No
May 13No
Apr 08, 16:23 pm
Vol123,48M €
Netanyahu out by...?
December 3143.5%
June 302.95%
May 310.45%
March 31No
April 30No
Jul 24, 23:47 pm
Vol103,97M €
Monthly
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Gavin Newsom24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%
Kamala Harris8.6%
Jon Ossoff7%
Rahm Emanuel6.4%
Pete Buttigieg4.7%
Josh Shapiro4.1%
Andy Beshear3.4%
Mark Kelly3.3%
James Talarico3.2%
J.B. Pritzker2.9%
Ro Khanna2.3%
Wes Moore2.1%
Graham Platner1.9%
Jon Stewart1.7%
Michelle Obama1.6%
Gretchen Whitmer1.2%
Mitch Landrieu1%
Stephen A. Smith0.9%
Mark Cuban0.9%
Cory Booker0.8%
Ruben Gallego0.7%
Chris Murphy0.7%
Elissa Slotkin0.5%
Raphael Warnock0.5%
Andrew Yang0.5%
Zohran Mamdani0.4%
Jamie Dimon0.4%
Roy Cooper0.4%
Dwayne Johnson0.3%
Gina Raimondo0.3%
Jared Polis0.3%
Bernie Sanders0.3%
Tim Walz0.2%
Barack Obama0.2%
Amy Klobuchar0.2%
Hunter Biden0.2%
John Fetterman0.2%
Hillary Clinton0.2%
Elizabeth Warren0.2%
Liz Cheney0.1%
Phil Murphy0.1%
Lebron James0.1%
Jasmine Crockett0.1%
Beto O'Rourke0.1%
Nov 06, 15:00 pm
Vol96,93M €
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro66.75%
Delcy Rodríguez20%
María Corina Machado6.5%
Jorge Rodríguez0.9%
Edmundo González0.7%
No Head of State0.55%
Donald Trump0.55%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón0.45%
Dinorah Figuera0.15%
Vladimir Padrino López0.15%
Evan Pettus0.15%
Dan Caine0.15%
Marco Rubio0.15%
Pete Hegseth0.15%
Frank Donovan0.15%
Richard Grenell0.15%
Jan 04, 18:25 pm
Vol76,39M €
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva45.5%Flávio Bolsonaro28.05%Renan Santos11.65%Romeu Zema5.05%Fernando Haddad4.55%Michelle Bolsonaro3.35%Camilo Santana1.45%Ronaldo Caiado1.15%Jair Bolsonaro0.55%Tereza Cristina0.45%Geraldo Alckmin0.35%Tarcisio de Freitas0.15%Ratinho Júnior0.15%Eduardo Leite0.15%Aldo Rebelo0.15%Eduardo Bolsonaro0.15%Helder Barbalho0.15%Sep 18, 20:16 pm
Vol72,79M €
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella23.5%Édouard Philippe19.5%Jean-Luc Mélenchon10.5%Marine Le Pen5.5%Dominique de Villepin4.65%Gabriel Attal4.6%David Lisnard4.25%François Hollande4.05%Bruno Retailleau3.2%Sarah Knafo2.05%Raphaël Glucksmann1.95%Sébastien Lecornu1.85%Éric Zemmour0.85%Jean Castex0.85%Juan Branco0.85%Laurent Wauquiez0.75%Gérald Darmanin0.75%Bernard Cazeneuve0.75%Clémence Guetté0.75%Manuel Bompard0.65%Nicolas Dupont-Aignan0.65%Carole Delga0.65%Valérie Pécresse0.65%Élisabeth Borne0.65%François Asselineau0.65%Clémentine Autain0.65%Michel Barnier0.65%Ségolène Royal0.65%Fabien Roussel0.65%Marine Tondelier0.65%François Ruffin0.65%Xavier Bertrand0.65%Olivier Faure0.65%François Bayrou0.65%Mathilde Panot0.65%Yaël Braun-Pivet0.65%Nov 13, 23:10 pm
Vol67,61M €
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori75.5%Roberto Sánchez Palomino21.65%Rafael López Aliaga1.1%Rafael Belaúnde Llosa0.05%Vladimir Cerrón0.05%Wolfgang Grozo0.05%Carlos Álvarez0.05%Roberto Chiabra0.05%César Acuña0.05%Marisol Pérez Tello0.05%Fiorella Molinelli0.05%Mesías Guevara0.05%Ricardo Belmont0.05%Enrique Valderrama0.05%Carlos Espá0.05%Fernando Olivera0.05%José Luna0.05%Alfonso López Chau0.05%Yonhy Lescano0.05%Mario Vizcarra0.05%George Forsyth0.05%José Williams0.05%Jorge Nieto0.05%Vol
46,36M €
What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?
Nuclear0.05%
Strait / Hormuz0.05%
Iran0.05%
PengYes
Ship / ChipYes
Friend of mineNo
Japan / KoreaNo
Sleepy JoeNo
Taiwan / TibetNo
Six SevenNo
Autopen / Auto PenNo
TariffNo
KamikazeNo
Crypto / BitcoinNo
FentanylNo
Covid / PandemicNo
HottestNo
Hong KongNo
AI / Artificial IntelligenceNo
North Korea / Kim Jong UnNo
IQNo
MaoNo
Great WallNo
FarmerNo
TransgenderNo
ShanghaiNo
TikTokNo
Rare earthNo
SoybeanNo
CookieNo
Tough NegotiatorNo
Forbidden CityNo
TankerNo
Vol
44,65M €
Will Trump visit China by...?
June 30Yes
May 31Yes
May 15Yes
October 31, 2025No
March 31, 2026No
April 30No
May 8No
BeendetVol
42,71M €
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
June 307.5%
May 313.6%
April 30No
March 31No
April 15No
Vol
38,63M €
2028 Republican presidential nominee
J.D. Vance33%
Marco Rubio29%
Tucker Carlson5.8%
Donald J. Trump Jr.4.7%
Ron DeSantis4.6%
Donald J. Trump3.2%
Thomas Massie2.7%
Glenn Youngkin1.5%
Ivanka Trump1.5%
Marjorie Taylor Greene1.3%
Rand Paul1.1%
Ted Cruz1%
Lara Trump1%
Spencer Pratt1%
Jeff Bezos1%
Brian Kemp0.9%
Tulsi Gabbard0.8%
Josh Hawley0.7%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders0.6%
Nikki Haley0.6%
Steve Bannon0.6%
Vivek Ramaswamy0.5%
Byron Donalds0.5%
Mike Pence0.5%
Katie Britt0.5%
Tom Cotton0.4%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0.4%
Greg Abbott0.4%
Pete Hegseth0.4%
Eric Trump0.4%
John Thune0.3%
Erika Kirk0.3%
Elise Stefanik0.2%
Matt Gaetz0.2%
Kristi Noem0.1%
Nicki Minaj0.1%
Elon Musk0.1%
Nov 06, 15:00 pm
Vol37,82M €
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 3114.5%
September 308.5%
June 302.3%
May 310.5%
March 31No
April 30No
Nov 25, 18:07 pm
Vol37,11M €
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh71.5%Oh Se-hoon29.5%Cho Eun-hee0.05%Cho Kuk0.05%Ahn Cheol-soo0.05%Hong Ihk-pyo0.05%Park Yong-jin0.05%Kang Hoon-sik 0.05%Na Kyung-won0.05%Han Dong-hoon0.05%Park Hong-keun0.05%Park Ju-min0.05%Jeon Hyun-heui0.05%Seo Young-kyo0.05%Nov 13, 00:40 am
Vol37,02M €
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3.95%Yes96.05%No
Dec 17, 23:04 pm
Vol36,48M €
Monthly
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
July 3177.5%
June 3063.5%
June 1543%
May 3126%
May 220.45%
April 18No
April 22No
April 30No
April 16No
April 15No
April 17No
April 21No
April 19No
April 20No
April 23No
April 24No
April 27No
April 26No
April 29No
April 25No
May 5No
April 28No
May 15No
Vol
33,74M €
Monthly
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Marco Rubio19%
J.D. Vance17%
Gavin Newsom14%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6.9%
Kamala Harris6.4%
Jon Ossoff4.6%
Mark Kelly3.4%
Donald J. Trump3.3%
Ron DeSantis3.1%
Pete Buttigieg2.9%
Josh Shapiro2.9%
Andy Beshear2.7%
Tucker Carlson2.4%
J.B. Pritzker1.5%
Wes Moore1.5%
Donald J. Trump Jr.1.4%
Thomas Massie1%
Gretchen Whitmer0.8%
Glenn Youngkin0.6%
Tulsi Gabbard0.5%
Stephen A. Smith0.4%
Nikki Haley0.4%
Jamie Dimon0.3%
Vivek Ramaswamy0.2%
Tim Walz0.2%
Greg Abbott0.2%
May 10, 14:00 pm
Vol33,13M €
Fed Decision in June?
No change97.55%
25 bps decrease1.05%
25 bps increase0.95%
50+ bps decrease0.45%
50+ bps increase0.25%
Dec 10, 21:50 pm
Vol32,89M €
Monthly
California Governor winner?
Xavier Becerra68%
Tom Steyer20%
Steve Hilton8.9%
Chad Bianco2.3%
Katie Porter0.7%
Matt Mahan0.5%
Tony Thurmond0.1%
Eric Swalwell0.1%
Antonio Villaraigosa0.1%
Ché Ahn0.1%
Betty Yee0.1%
Rob Bonta0.1%
Michael Younger0.1%
Daniel Mercuri0.1%
Leo Zacky0.1%
Butch Ware0.1%
Toni Atkins0.1%
Ethan Agarwal0.1%
Stephen Cloobeck0.1%
Eleni Kounalakis0.1%
Alex Padilla0.1%
Kamala Harris0.1%
Kyle Langford0.1%
Rick Caruso0.1%
Nicole Shanahan0.1%
May 16, 14:00 pm
Vol30,6M €
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6.75%Yes93.25%No
Dec 23, 01:07 am
Vol28,61M €
Monthly
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
23.5%Yes76.5%No
Nov 05, 17:57 pm
Vol26,52M €
Monthly
Colombia Presidential Election
Abelardo de la Espriella55.5%Iván Cepeda Castro37.5%Paloma Valencia8.85%David Luna Sánchez (IND)0.05%Claudia López (IND)0.05%Vicky Dávila (IND)0.05%Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)0.05%Juan Manuel Galán (NL)0.05%Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)0.05%Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)0.05%Sergio Fajardo (DC)0.05%Mauricio Cárdenas0.05%Gustavo Bolívar (HC)0.05%Enrique Peñalosa0.05%Juan Carlos Pinzón0.05%Roy Barreras0.05%Daniel Quintero0.05%Carlos Felipe Córdoba0.05%Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD)NoJul 29, 17:32 pm
Vol25,93M €
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